When Is the Florida Senate Race?

 

Florida Senate Polls 2022 (Average): Marco Rubio: 48.0%, Val Demings: 43.0%
Google Search Share (7 Days Average): Val Demings: 46%, Marco Rubio: 54%

Social Media Sentiment: Marco Rubio: -23.9%, Val Demings: -11.4%

CrowdwisdomLIVE Prediction: Marco Rubio likely to win by a 5-8% margin


When Is the Florida Senate Race?

The United States Florida Senate Election will be held on November 8th, 2022 to elect a member of the United States to represent the state of Florida. Both the Senate seats of the state of Florida are currently held by Republicans.

Florida Senate Race Prediction Table

Who is Leading? Who is gaining?
Polls Marco Rubio Rubio
Google Search Marco Rubio Demings
Social Media Sentiment Val Demings Demings

Florida Senate Polls: Observations and Insights

  • Rubio leads Demings 48-43 and is performing better than the average Republican in the last 6 elections.
  • Marco Rubio won the 2016 election by an 8% margin, in the latest poll he is ahead of Val Demings by just 6%.
    • He led 13% of men in 2016. In 2022, he leads by 15% against Demings
    • Rubio led by 3% amongst women in 2016, he trails by 3% in 2022. This is probably the outcome of Demings focusing on abortion as a major issue. However, this is too small a lead to compensate for Rubio’s lead amongst Men.
    • He led by 28% amongst White voters in 2016. In 2022, he leads Demings by 21%
    • Rubio is most at risk amongst voters who are under 50. In 2016, he polled 47% of these voters and trailed by 2% points. He is now polling 39% and trailing by 5%. These voters make up 49% of all voters in Florida
  • Rubio is still likely to win
    • He has a huge lead amongst Men that should win him the election. Demings has made some headway amongst women but she needs to move a lot more younger women to be able to beat Rubio.
    • Demings suffers from relatively poor awareness levels. Patrick Murphy was ahead of Rubio on Google search in 2016 while Demings trails Rubio by 20%.
    • Lastly, the super-high inflation has turned away many voters from the Democrats. It is unlikely they will vote for the Democratic party in the Mid-terms

[Democratic Party Partisan Video]

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Florida Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest General Election Polls

Average of Polls October 5th
Marco Rubio 48.0%
Val Demings 43.0%
Mason Dixon September 28th
Marco Rubio 47%
Val Demings 41%
Siena College September 25th
Marco Rubio 48%
Val Demings 41%
Civiqs September 20th
Marco Rubio 49%
Val Demings 47%
2018 Senate Election Polls September 2018
Marco Rubio (R) 45.7%
Patrick Murphy (D) 39.0%
Average of Last 6 Federal Elections 2016-2020
Republicans 51.2%
Democrats 47.4%

Florida Senate Race Polls 2022: Google Search Volume Share

October 5th
Marco Rubio 54%
Val Demings 46%

Florida Senate Race Polls 2022: Social Media Sentiments

October 18th
Rubio -23.9%
Demings -11.4%

Florida Senate Race Polls 2022: Latest Campaign Funding

Cash in Hand
Marco Rubio $13.1 m
Val Demings $13.2 m

Florida Senate Race Polls 2022: Latest Videos

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Florida Senate Polls 2022: Latest Campaign News

Florida Senate Polls 2022: Frequently Asked Questions

Who is the US senator for Florida 2022?

 

The current senator of Florida is Republican Marco Rubio. However, Florida is set to vote to elect its new Senator on November 8th, 2022. From the Republican Party Mark Rubio is on the ballot while Congresswoman Val Demings will be representing the Democratic Party.

How often are senators up for reelection?

 

Senators are elected for 6 years. After every 6 years, the election is held to elect a new Senator from the state.

Florida Senate Polls: Demographics of Florida

As per the 2020 Census figures

Demographic Proportion
White American 51.5%
Hispanic American 26.5%
African American 14.5%
Asian Americans 2.9%
Multiracial 3.7%
Others 0.9%

70% of the State’s denizens identify as Christian and 3% identify as Jews. The two largest congregations are Protestants at 46% and Catholics at 21%.

Most of Florida’s Hispanics are Cubans. In fact, Florida as a state due to its close proximity to Cuba has the highest proportion of Cuban Americans in the country. Most of the community is well known for its antipathy to Communism or Socialism due to most of the community being forced to migrate due to the actions of the Communist government of Cuba.

There’s a large chunk of Puerto Ricans in Florida, especially in the Orlando Metro area. They moved to Florida due to its cultural similarities, the poor economic conditions in Puerto Rico, and after Hurricane Maria devastated the island in 2018. The remaining Latino population is very diverse, hailing from various countries in South America including Mexico, Colombia, Venezuela, etc.

Florida has been crowned as one of the best places to retire due to its weather and beaches. Thus the state also has a large retiree population. 20% of the population is over 65 years of age.

Florida Senate Polls 2022: Party Registration

Florida has been a reliable swing state since 1992 fiercely contested between the 2 major parties.

In the last 20 years, the Republican party has grown more powerful in Florida and has been able to win over most state-level elected offices. Currently, except for the Agriculture Commissioner, it holds nearly each and every single office in the state including the 2 Senate seats and 16/27 US House Representative Seats.

As per the latest figures released by the Florida Secretary of State:-

Read: Latest Florida Governor Polls

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